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Nvidia Q4 earnings collide with Wall Street skepticism over AI spending

Nvidia is set to report fiscal Q4 results after the bell today, with expectations of $65.6B-$66B in revenue and $1.50-$1.52 EPS amid concerns over slowing AI capex from hyperscalers. Guidance for next quarter will be key as investors question the sustainability of massive AI infrastructure investments. The results could reset sentiment for the entire AI sector.

Why it matters: Nvidia's numbers are the ultimate litmus test for AI demand—beat and rally, miss and panic.
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Intelligence Stream

AI

AI Today in 5: February 25, 2026, The Spotting AI Fakes Edition

Daily roundup highlights tools and stories on detecting AI-generated fakes amid rising concerns over misinformation.

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Policy

Pentagon Pressures Anthropic to Allow Full Access to Its AI Models

The Pentagon issued an ultimatum to Anthropic demanding full access to its AI models by Friday, threatening to cancel a $200M contract and invoke the Defense Production Act. Anthropic agreed to policy adjustments for defense but refuses mass surveillance or autonomous weapons use. The military cited urgent need for Claude in operations like abducting Venezuela's ex-president.

Added today
Big Tech

Normally staid bond investors have a new biggest worry: An AI bubble

Bank of America survey finds AI bubble as top risk for high-grade credit investors for first time, with expected $285B hyperscaler debt issuance up sharply. Fears of AI-driven obsolescence and massive capex from Amazon, Alphabet, Meta fueling concerns.

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Startups

Bullhorn GRID report: Staffing firms using AI see stronger growth, faster placements

Survey of 2,300 recruiters shows AI adopters growing 1.5x faster, with quicker hires and better margins. AI transforming recruitment amid talent wars.

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Market

Time to deflate the AI doom bubble

Reuters argues the AI hype of last year was overblown, but current fears of spending cuts are equally exaggerated, calling for a more balanced assessment of AI's economic impact.

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Policy

Anthropic ditches its core safety promise in the middle of an AI red hot moment

Anthropic has quietly changed its safety policy, dropping a key promise on model deployment amid rising AI risks and scrutiny.

Added today
Chips

Nvidia whisper numbers: AI chipmaker seen beating and guiding higher

Traders expect Nvidia to exceed Q4 estimates and raise Q1 guidance, fueling pre-earnings optimism despite broader AI skepticism.

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Research

Nearly two-thirds of companies have lost track of their data just as AI agents roam free

Thales 2026 Data Threat Report reveals only 34% of orgs know where all data resides, as AI agents exacerbate cyber risks. 70% rank AI as top insider threat amid unsecured data sprawl.

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Chips

AMD strikes massive AI chip deal with Meta

Meta to buy up to 6GW of AMD CPUs/GPUs worth >$100B, starting with 1GW MI450 GPUs and Zen6 Epyc in H2 2026. Deal funded by warrants, bolstering AMD's AI challenge to Nvidia.

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Policy

Podcast - Where the FTC Stands on AI: Evidence Over Speculation

Holland & Knight discusses FTC's evidence-based approach to AI regulation, amid growing scrutiny of genAI risks and enforcement.

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Policy

Disrupting malicious uses of AI

OpenAI releases latest threat report detailing how malicious actors combine AI models with websites and social platforms, sharing case studies like Chinese influence ops to aid industry detection.

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AI

Capxel Launches LLM-LD, the First Open Standard for Making Websites Readable by AI Agents

Capxel introduced LLM-LD, an open standard to make websites parseable by AI agents, enabling better automation and interaction.

Added today
Big Tech

Oppenheimer upgrades Oracle to Outperform on AI cloud momentum

Oracle stock lifted by analyst upgrade to $185 PT, citing explosive AI-driven OCI growth.

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AI

Anthropic launches Remote Control for Claude Code, enabling mobile terminal access

Anthropic's new Remote Control feature allows developers to manage local coding sessions via Claude from mobile devices, boosting remote productivity.

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Market

US futures are flat after optimism about AI sends Wall Street higher

Global stocks gain on AI-driven tech rebound, but futures flat as investors await Nvidia's crucial Q4 print to gauge sustained demand.

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Startups

AI Unease Derails Big Year for Tech IPOs

AI-related fears dampen 2026 tech IPO hopes just two months in, as bankers and investors reassess amid market jitters.

Added today
Robotics

SiMa.ai and STIGA Announce Partnership for AI-Powered Robotic Lawn Mowers

Edge AI chipmaker SiMa.ai teams with STIGA to deploy real-time ML inferencing in consumer robotics, targeting efficient autonomous mowing.

Added today
Big Tech

Nasdaq Raises Medium-Term Revenue Outlook on AI Data Growth

At Investor Day, Nasdaq hikes forecasts citing AI-driven demand for market data and analytics infrastructure.

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Research

TELUS Digital Research Reveals a Hidden Risk in AI Model Behavior

New research uncovers unexpected performance drops in larger LLMs within the same family, posing enterprise risks during model selection. Findings challenge assumptions that bigger models always outperform smaller ones reliably.

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Big Tech

IT spending to exceed $6 trillion in 2026 for first time, powered by AI

Gartner forecasts record IT outlays driven by genAI adoption across enterprises, with hardware and software investments surging.

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AI

Anthropic's Claude COBOL refactoring claim triggers 13% IBM stock plunge

Anthropic announced Claude can rapidly analyze and refactor massive COBOL codebases, sparking investor fears over legacy software maintenance demand. IBM shares suffered their worst day in 25 years amid concerns AI could disrupt mainframe services. Analysts note confusion between translation and full modernization capabilities.

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Chips

AMD wows Wall Street with Meta chip deal ahead of Nvidia earnings

AMD surges on reports of massive multi-year GPU deal with Meta, challenging Nvidia's AI dominance as capex ramps.

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Big Tech

MSCI launches IndexAI Insights powered by ChatGPT and Claude

MSCI introduces IndexAI, an AI-driven insights tool integrating ChatGPT and Claude for investment decision support.

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AI

LexisNexis adopts Anthropic Claude Cowork plugin for legal workflows

Leading legal research platform integrates Claude's new tools to automate complex tasks, evaluated pre-launch.

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Chips

Scientel Announces Gensonix AI LLM For AMD Radeon Series GPUs

Scientel launched Gensonix, an LLM optimized for AMD Radeon GPUs, targeting consumer-grade AI inference.

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Big Tech

Bleak Research Report Stokes A.I. Debate on Wall St.

A small research firm's dystopian AI vision report triggers Wall Street concerns about overhyped AI spending, amplifying skepticism ahead of Nvidia earnings.

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AI

Anthropic launches Remote Control feature for Claude Code

Claude Code now supports remote terminal operations from mobile devices, expanding agentic capabilities for on-the-go coding and ops.

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Research

AI framework helps researchers see bigger picture in cell biology

MIT's new AI tool analyzes multi-modal cell data to identify shared and unique features across imaging techniques, advancing biological discovery.

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AI

Claude's New AI Vulnerability Scanner Sends Cybersecurity Shares Plunging

Anthropic's Claude introduces an AI-powered vulnerability scanner, sparking fears of disruption and causing sharp declines in cybersecurity stocks.

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Policy

OpenAI Uncovers Global Chinese Intimidation Operation via ChatGPT

OpenAI exposes a Chinese operation using AI tools for censorship and intimidation, highlighting geopolitical risks in AI usage.

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Policy

Generative AI Could Deepen Inequality and Revenue Losses in Developing World

UN report warns gen AI may exacerbate global divides, hitting news and media sectors in poorer nations hardest.

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AI

AI evolves from tool to gatekeeper in business workflows

PYMNTS report highlights AI's shift to controlling access and decisions, raising concerns over transparency and dependency.

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Big Tech

Brookfield acquires AI cloud operator Ori to launch massive chip leasing venture

Brookfield Asset Management merges Ori Industries with Radiant to create a new AI infrastructure entity focused on leasing high-demand chips amid global compute shortages.

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AI

Can A.I. Detection Tools Really Spot Fake Images and Videos?

The New York Times tests latest AI detectors on hyper-realistic generated media, revealing ongoing challenges in distinguishing real from synthetic content as deepfakes proliferate.

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Research

Multiverse Computing releases enhanced HyperNova 60B model on Hugging Face

Quantum-AI firm Multiverse Computing unveiled an upgraded HyperNova 60B compressed model optimized for edge inference and financial simulations. The open-source release targets enterprise use in risk modeling and optimization. Benchmarks show 2x speedups over prior versions.

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Research

TELUS Digital uncovers hidden risks in AI model behavior

New research highlights unpredictable behaviors in AI models that could impact reliability in critical applications.

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Chips

Amazon's Graviton demand doubles Arm royalties, boosting AI inference play

Motley Fool highlights AWS Arm-based chips exploding in popularity for cost-efficient AI workloads.

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Research

Syntheia launches quantum initiative to supercharge enterprise conversational AI

Startup unveils plans to integrate quantum tech for faster, more scalable AI chat systems in business applications.

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Startups

BeyondMath bags $18.5M to build 'ChatGPT for physics simulation'

Funding fuels AI platform simulating complex physical systems, targeting engineering and science R&D.

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AI

More than half of teens are using AI for schoolwork

Pew study reveals over 50% of teens use AI for homework like math explanations and novel summaries, highlighting rapid adoption in education.

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AI

Elon Musk teases official Grok CLI for developers as AI rivalry heats up

Elon Musk announced an upcoming command-line interface for Grok, positioning it as a developer tool amid intensifying competition with Anthropic's Claude.

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AI

ByteDance Doubao AI chatbot hits 100M DAU during China holiday

Yahoo Finance says TikTok parent surges past rivals in Lunar New Year user battle.

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Energy

US AI boom faces electric shock

Big Tech's $600B+ AI spending in 2026 is straining U.S. power grids, with data centers driving record electricity demand and facing turbine shortages and regulatory delays. Companies like Microsoft and Amazon may build their own gas-fired plants as grid expansion lags. Trump stated tech must handle its own power needs.

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AI

Google Introduces Gemini Tools for Building XR Experiences with Prompts

Google launched new Gemini features allowing developers to generate interactive XR apps via natural language prompts, bridging AI and spatial computing.

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Chips

Scientel releases Gensonix LLM optimized for AMD Radeon consumer GPUs

New lightweight model based on Llama 3B enables efficient local AI inference on AMD's Radeon series, targeting gamers and creators.

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Research

BCG X and Nature Awards Launch 'AI for Discovery' Prize

New global award recognizes teams using AI to advance solutions in health, sustainability, and beyond, fostering breakthrough research.

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Startups

Mojo AI Raises $10M Series B Amid Fortune 500 Growth

Enterprise AI platform achieves 68% ARR growth and 396% new logo increase, fueling adoption by major corporations.

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Policy

Black Hat Asia 2026 Spotlights AI Threats and Supply Chain Risks

Conference to reveal cutting-edge research on AI-driven attacks and vulnerabilities in global supply chains.

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Startups

Seeds AI² Robotics Secures Over $140M in Series B Funding

Chinese firm completes massive Series B for its AI-driven AlphaBot humanoid robots, accelerating development and deployment.

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Policy

IBM 2026 X-Force: AI-driven attacks escalate as security gaps persist

IBM's latest threat report warns of surging AI-powered cyberattacks exploiting basic enterprise vulnerabilities, urging immediate defenses.

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Policy

Pentagon eyes xAI Grok for classified ops as Anthropic tensions escalate

Storyboard18 reports DoD considering Grok amid disputes with Anthropic over model restrictions.

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AI

Anthropic launches Claude Cowork plugins for HR, finance, and research automation

Anthropic rolled out customizable plugins for its enterprise Claude platform to automate workflows in HR, banking, engineering, and more.

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Policy

Pentagon demands Anthropic drop Claude safety limits or face blacklist

Defense officials gave Anthropic until Friday to relax AI guardrails for military use, threatening supply chain exclusion.

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AI

OpenClaw repo hits 224k stars with fresh updates amid agent craze

Viral AI agent framework maintains momentum at #2 all-time GitHub, last commit minutes ago.

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AI

1024EX launches mainnet alpha: first prediction market for AI agent trading

New platform enables AI agents to trade predictions transparently, opens limited early access.

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Chips

Nvidia Q4 FY26 earnings report due today after market close

All eyes on NVDA's datacenter revenue, China export impacts, Blackwell ramp. Analysts expect continued AI dominance amid competition.

Added today
Startups

Giant raises $8M for AI-powered interactive kids' storytelling app

Seed funding to scale personalized AI stories that boost child literacy and engagement.

Added today
AI

LS Electric develops AI model to predict renewable energy output

South Korea's LS Electric unveiled an AI model for accurate forecasting of solar and wind power generation, aiding grid stability.

Added today
Chips

NVIDIA Q4 FY26 earnings webcast today amid sky-high expectations

Nvidia reports fiscal Q4 results after market close, with analysts eyeing $65B+ revenue on unrelenting AI datacenter demand.

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Startups

G-Stacker launches beta AI platform for business entity verification

G-Stacker gains Google-approved AI status and enters limited beta for automated KYC and compliance checks.

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Startups

upGrad and Waterloo launch AI-CTO program for enterprise leaders

MoU for Chief Technology & AI Officer certification focusing on AI leadership and transformation.

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Chips

AI boom sparks global RAM shortage, set to hike prices for smartphones, PCs, and PlayStations

Explosive demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) in AI datacenters is spilling over, constraining consumer DRAM supplies and potentially driving up costs for everyday devices.

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Big Tech

Global M&A surges into 2026 fueled by AI mega-deals despite capital crunch

AI sparks record deal frenzy with billions in transactions, but tightening cash raises risks for buyers.

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Startups

UK self-driving startup Wayve raises $1.2B from Mercedes, Stellantis and others

Wayve secured $1.2B to advance embodied AI for robotaxis, valuing the firm highly amid autonomy race.

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Big Tech

Apple shifts Mac Mini assembly to the US amid supply chain shifts

Apple moves Mac Mini production stateside, potentially boosting AI hardware localization.

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Robotics

Pony.ai robotaxis hit record Shenzhen paid orders over Chinese New Year

Pony.ai reports surge in robotaxi rides, advancing autonomous driving in China.

Added today
Chips

Nvidia challenger AI chip startup MatX raised $500M

MatX, founded by ex-Google hardware engineers, secures $500M Series B to build specialized AI inference chips challenging Nvidia's dominance. The funding values the startup at over $2B and accelerates production of next-gen silicon for datacenter AI workloads.

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Big Tech

US tech giants to pour $650B into AI infrastructure in 2026

Big Tech's capex frenzy continues, fueling massive datacenter builds to power next-gen AI models and agents.

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Startups

Startup Astelia secures $35M for AI vulnerability management

Astelia emerges from stealth with $35M to tackle security risks in AI models and agents, addressing exploding threats in agentic deployments.

Added today
Startups

DBS and Granite Asia launch $110M AI IPO fund for Asian tech

DBS Bank partners with Granite Asia to create $110M fund targeting AI and tech IPOs in Asia, betting on regional growth amid global AI race.

Added today
AI

Spanish 'soonicorn' Multiverse Computing releases free compressed AI model HyperNova 60B

Multiverse Computing launches upgraded HyperNova 60B 2602 on Hugging Face, a 50% compressed version of gpt-oss-120B that outperforms Mistral on benchmarks while slashing compute needs.

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Chips

Markets jittery ahead of Nvidia Q4 earnings on AI demand

Nvidia set to report after close, with focus on datacenter growth amid chip competition.

Added today
Chips

Adapt Raises $10M Seed to Build 'AI Computer for Business'

Startup funding aims to create specialized AI hardware tailored for enterprise workflows and scalability.

Added today
Big Tech

OpenAI defeats xAI's trade secrets lawsuit

A court rules in favor of OpenAI, dismissing Elon Musk's xAI lawsuit alleging trade secret theft. The decision clears a major legal hurdle amid intensifying rivalry between the AI labs.

Added today
Startups

Uber engineers built an AI version of their boss Dara Khosrowshahi

Uber staff created a chatbot mimicking CEO Dara Khosrowshahi for practice sessions, showcasing deep AI integration in enterprise. The tool uses company data to simulate interactions, boosting employee prep.

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Chips

Meta inks up to $100B AMD chip deal to chase 'personal superintelligence'

Meta has committed to buying up to $100B in AMD MI540 GPUs and CPUs over multiple years, including a warrant for 160M shares, to diversify from Nvidia and power AI scaling.

Added yesterday
AI

Claude Code introduces remote control for mobile agentic coding

Anthropic added remote session control to Claude Code, letting users hand off terminal tasks to phone for seamless multitasking.

Added today
Policy

Pentagon threatens Anthropic with deadline over Claude safeguards

US military sets Friday deadline for Anthropic to relax AI safety guardrails or face contract penalties, escalating dispute on military access to Claude.

Added today
Energy

Google signs 1.9GW clean energy deal with massive 100-hour battery

Google's latest renewables pact includes breakthrough long-duration storage to power AI data centers amid surging electricity demand.

Added yesterday
Policy

Anthropic digs in as Pentagon escalates AI guardrail dispute with Friday deadline

Pentagon demands Anthropic loosen Claude's safety restrictions by Friday or face penalties, but Anthropic refuses to budge in high-stakes clash over military AI use.

Added yesterday
Research

LlamaIndex Newsletter: Gemini 3.1 Pro hands-on, LlamaAgents Builder upgrades

Major enhancements to agent builder with file uploads, new model integrations for advanced RAG and workflows.

Added today
Policy

Anthropic releases Responsible Scaling Policy v3.0

Anthropic updates its RSP framework to address escalating risks from advanced AI systems, including new thresholds for deployment safeguards. The policy emphasizes voluntary mitigation of catastrophic risks.

Added today
AI

ProducerAI music generator joins Google Labs, backed by Chainsmokers

Generative music tool ProducerAI integrates into Google Labs, accelerating AI creativity tools.

Added yesterday
AI

Notion launches Custom Agents: autonomous AI team for teams

Notion's new Custom Agents automate workflows 24/7 with triggers, schedules, easy no-code build for enterprise busywork.

Added today
Policy

Anthropic faces Friday deadline from Hegseth in Defense AI dispute

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth gives Anthropic until Friday to drop AI safeguards for military use, escalating tensions over broad access to Claude models.

Added today
Chips

AMD stock roars 14% on Meta's up-to-$100B AI chip deal

AMD clinches massive supply agreement with Meta for AI GPUs, boosting shares and networking stocks like ANET.

Added today
Big Tech

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon: AI reshaping workforce, bank plans redeployment

Dimon reveals JPM is addressing AI's labor impact by redeploying staff, highlighting broader enterprise shifts.

Added yesterday
Policy

Pete Hegseth sets Friday deadline for Anthropic's AI red lines

Politico reports tense meeting where Hegseth warned of supply chain risk designation unless Anthropic relaxes policies on military AI use.

Added yesterday
Startups

AI startups smashing $10M ARR in just 3 months, Stripe data reveals

Stripe reports unprecedented speed of AI firms reaching multimillion ARR, highlighting turbocharged growth in agentic era.

Added yesterday
AI

Thomson Reuters preps next-gen CoCounsel AI legal tool for beta

Upgrade to core legal product promises advanced capabilities for professionals.

Added today
AI

Inception launches Mercury 2, the fastest reasoning diffusion LLM 5x faster than rivals

Stanford prof-backed Inception released Mercury 2, a diffusion-based LLM for instant production AI like agents and voice, slashing latency and costs vs. autoregressive models.

Added today
AI

Scientel launches Gensonix AI LLM optimized for Intel ARC GPUs

New LLM targets consumer GPUs, enabling affordable local AI inference on Intel hardware.

Added today
Policy

Hegseth gives Anthropic until Friday to drop AI safeguards for military

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth demanded Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei allow unfettered Pentagon access to Claude, threatening contract termination or Defense Production Act invocation over usage red lines like surveillance and autonomous weapons.

Added yesterday
AI

Cursor unveils major AI coding agent upgrade: agents now demo code via smooth video recordings

Cursor's latest update lets AI agents onboard to codebases, execute on cloud computers, and send video demos of their work, intensifying the coding agent wars with Anthropic and OpenAI.

Added yesterday
Chips

Axelera AI raises $250M for European AI edge chips

Dutch AI chip firm Axelera secured $250M from BlackRock and others to challenge Nvidia in inference hardware.

Added today
Research

Apple releases Ferret-UI Lite: 3B on-device model for GUI control

Apple researchers introduced Ferret-UI Lite, a compact 3B param multimodal model rivaling 72B giants in UI grounding and agent tasks across mobile/web/desktop.

Added today
AI

Anthropic exposes industrial-scale distillation attacks by DeepSeek, Moonshot, and MiniMax

Anthropic reveals Chinese AI labs used 24k fake accounts for 16M+ Claude queries to extract capabilities for their models, violating ToS. Accusations spark AI IP theft debate and hypocrisy claims.

Added today
Big Tech

OpenAI COO: AI has barely penetrated enterprise processes yet

OpenAI's COO states that despite hype, AI adoption in business workflows remains minimal, signaling huge untapped potential.

Added yesterday
Chips

Axelera AI raises $250M for edge AI chips rivaling Nvidia

Dutch startup secures massive funding to scale hardware accelerating AI inference on devices, targeting IoT and automotive.

Added today
AI

Microsoft warns on malicious repos targeting developers amid OpenClaw risks

Microsoft Security Blog details C2 campaigns using fake Next.js repos; advises on running OpenClaw safely with identity isolation to mitigate runtime risks in self-hosted agents.

Added today

Quick Bites

NVDA options price ±5.2% post-earnings move
Nvidia Q4 est now $66.13B rev (+67% YoY), $1.54 EPS per FactSet
Nvidia whispers: $66B Q4 rev (+68% YoY), guide $71B Q1
Nvidia Vera Rubin: 10x perf/watt vs Grace Blackwell, 100% liquid cooled racks H2 2026
NVDA Q4 call 2PM PT today: $65.9B rev est, Blackwell updates eyed
NVDA Q4 est: $65.9B rev (+67% YoY), $1.53 EPS; DC ~$60B
Nvidia premarket +0.4% as $66B rev whispers circulate.
Nvidia Q4 earnings drop after close today: $66B rev est (+67% YoY), EPS $1.53; datacenter key watch.
NVDA steady +0.5% pre-earnings; $66B rev whisper
Nvidia Q4 rev est $66B (+67% YoY), EPS $1.53 ahead of after-hours report

Market Pulse

AI Pulse
72/100
Bullish

AI chip stocks steady to up ahead Nvidia earnings; AMD pops on Meta megadeal

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